The method requires participants to engage actively in the process of constructing, analyzing, and interpreting the Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM). This may involve tasks such as identifying the key components of the system under study, defining the relationships between these components, and assigning fuzzy values to represent the strength or direction of these relationships. Participants may also be expected to use the FCM to make predictions or test scenarios related to the system being modeled, and to interpret the results of these exercises.
Qualitative content analysis of science fiction novels and/or films to identify precursors for coming developments or warning signals.
The method requires participants to engage actively in the process of creating speculative narratives in the form of science fiction stories, films, or other media aiming to explore and envision potential technological advancements or future scenarios by. The idea behind this approach is to use science fiction as a tool for ideation, helping to spark imagination and creativity, and providing a way to consider possible implications and consequences of emerging technologies or social trends.
The method requires participants to flow-write Flash Fiction, i.e., very short Science Fiction stories of 150-300 words, under time pressure, usually 2-5 minutes.
Trend extrapolation is a method that projects past data into the future based on the assumption that certain phenomena are likely to persist. Trend Impact Analysis is a forecasting method that extrapolates historical data into the future while taking into account expectations about future events.
The Delphi Technique enables the solution of a research question or problem with the consensus of experts in a particular subject or field.
Cross-impact analysis was developed for forecasting the future by Theodore Gordan and Olaf Helmer in 1960s.